NFL and college football. We track the most successful wallets on Polymarket, ranked on how often they beat the closing price. Three hours before kickoff, if those wallets hold clearly more money on one side, that side is the pick. Every live pick is logged before the game with its price and stays here, win or lose.
How it works
We follow the sharpest money. We track the Polymarket wallets with the strongest record of beating the closing line, and update that list every week.
One pick per game, at most. Before each NFL and college football game, if those wallets are clearly lined up on one side, that side is the pick. Most games don't get one.
Same rule every game. $100 flat on every pick, held to the final whistle, win or lose.
Today's picks
We check every game 3 hours before it starts.
Most games don't have an edge, and we only post a pick when the sharp money clearly lines up. Every other game we check is listed just below, so you can see we looked.
The rest of today's games
Picks are posted at the check time, 3 hours before the game, at the market price then. A bet placed earlier may get a different price.
ℹ
How to read this record. Every number below shows what $100 on every pick would have returned, at the market price 3 hours before the game. Results are simulated from Polymarket trade history, not real bets, and past results don't guarantee future ones.
League
Season
Price of the side
Fees
Profit over time
Running total, $100 on every pick
Rolling 14 days
Separate 14-day blocks by calendar date, newest first; no pick is in two rows. Tap a row to see its games.
By price of the side
By month
What the record shows
Underdogs carry it. Sides priced under 45¢ did far better than the rest; favorites priced over 55¢ roughly broke even. Use the price filter above to see it.
Expect streaks. A 100-pick stretch can easily run anywhere from −15% to +35%. The edge shows up over hundreds of picks, not a weekend.
Prices are the market price three hours before kickoff. Paying a cent more cuts returns by roughly two points. "After fee" applies Polymarket's taker fee; resting limit orders pay none.
Every pick
Newest first. Tap a row for details.
Sharpline · Basketball Sharp Money
Follow the sharpest wallets in basketball
NBA and college basketball. We follow the wallets that beat the closing line and make money doing it. When they line up on one side, that side is the pick. Every pick stays on the record, win or lose.
How it works
We follow the sharpest money. We track the Polymarket wallets with the strongest record in basketball, both beating the closing line and making money, and update that list every week.
One pick per game, at most. Before each NBA and college basketball game, if those wallets are clearly lined up on one side, that side is the pick. Most games don't get one.
Same rule every game. $100 flat on every pick, held to the final buzzer, win or lose.
Today's picks
We check every game 3 hours before it starts.
Most games don't have an edge, and we only post a pick when the sharp money clearly lines up. Every other game we check is listed just below, so you can see we looked.
The rest of today's games
Picks are posted at the check time, 3 hours before the game, at the market price then. A bet placed earlier may get a different price.
ℹ
How to read this record. Every number below shows what $100 on every pick would have returned, at the market price 3 hours before the game. Results are simulated from Polymarket trade history, not real bets, and past results don't guarantee future ones.
League
Season
Price of the side
Fees
Profit over time
Running total, $100 on every pick
Rolling 14 days
Separate 14-day blocks by calendar date, newest first; no pick is in two rows. Tap a row to see its games.
By price of the side
By month
What the record shows
NBA underdogs carry it, like football. In the NBA, sides under 45¢ returned about +22% a pick, sides from 45¢ to 55¢ lost money, and favorites over 55¢ about broke even. Use the league and price filters above to see it.
A smaller edge than football, across many more games. About +5% a pick overall in both the NBA and college basketball, on 1,300+ picks.
Prices are the market price three hours before tip-off. "After fee" applies Polymarket's taker fee; resting limit orders pay none.